Overview
Where the votes are, and who holds the ground
Days to poll
130
Principal
Not set
from config
Registered voters
1,695,927
2023 register
Polling units
2,887
after 2021 expansion
Wards
193
16 LGAs
Votes cast 2023
462,476
governorship
Turnout 2023
27.9%
state-wide
LGAs for half the vote
5
of 16 — 53% cumulative
Allocation gap
Vote share minus ward share, 2023 resultKwara Central
52 wards · 192k votes
+14.5pt
Kwara North
58 wards · 146k votes
+1.6pt
Kwara South
83 wards · 124k votes
-16.1pt
Kwara South holds 43% of the wards and casts 27% of the votes. Per-ward resourcing over-serves it by 16 points and starves Ilorin.
Ward control
193 wards34.0%
Mean control
Held45
Contested55
Exposed93
No structure0
23%
28%
48%
Wards at stake
171
Stalled 14d+
144
Votes cast by LGA
2023 governorship · work down this listIlorin West
18.5% of state · top half
85.7k
Ilorin East
9.1% of state · top half
42.2k
Edu
8.9% of state · top half
41.3k
Baruten
8.2% of state · top half
37.9k
Ilorin South
7.8% of state · top half
35.9k
Ifelodun
6.3% of state
29.0k
Asa
6.0% of state
27.9k
Moro
5.3% of state
24.5k
Offa
5.1% of state
23.5k
Irepodun
4.9% of state
22.7k
Kaiama
4.7% of state
21.8k
Pategi
4.5% of state
21.0k
Oyun
3.5% of state
16.2k
Oke-Ero
2.6% of state
11.8k
Ekiti
2.5% of state
11.6k
Isin
2.0% of state
9.4k
5 of 16 LGAs carry half the votes. Ilorin West alone casts 18.5%.
Turnout by LGA
2023 · darker is higherEdu
38.3%
Asa
33.1%
Pategi
32.2%
Ilorin West
31.3%
Moro
30.5%
Oke-Ero
27.2%
Ekiti
26.9%
Oyun
26.8%
Ilorin East
26.6%
Irepodun
25.8%
Baruten
25.8%
Kaiama
25.5%
Offa
24.6%
Ilorin South
22.8%
Isin
22.8%
Ifelodun
22.6%
State turnout was 27.9%. Edu at 38.3% against Ifelodun at 22.6% — a 16-point spread that mobilisation, not persuasion, closes.
2023 result
The baseline being defended59%
34%
APC273,424
PDP155,490
SDP18,922
Others12,661
Winning margin
25.6pt
Non-voters 2023
1,233,451
the real opposition
LGAs won
16 / 16
Source reconciliation
Per-LGA vs declaredAPC273,451+27
PDP155,490exact
SDP19,269+347
Valid votes462,476+1979
The per-LGA table does not sum exactly to the declared totals. Shown rather than adjusted. Replace with INEC form EC8D before this drives money.