Power map
Every ward, by who actually holds it
One tile per ward, coloured by effective control of the load-bearing executive seats. This is the roster read as a map of capacity and exposure rather than a directory of names.
Held45
Contested55
Exposed93
No structure0
Kwara Central
52 wards · mean control 28% · 69 open casesAsa17 wards
Ilorin East12 wards
Ilorin South11 wards
Ilorin West12 wards
Kwara North
58 wards · mean control 43% · 24 open casesBaruten11 wards
Edu10 wards
Kaiama10 wards
Moro17 wards
Pategi10 wards
Kwara South
83 wards · mean control 32% · 51 open casesEkiti10 wards
Ifelodun18 wards
Irepodun11 wards
Isin11 wards
Offa12 wards
Oke-Ero10 wards
Oyun11 wards
Orphan wards
6 wards — no structure and nobody in the pipeline carrying themThese wards are exposed or empty and reconciliation will not recover them — nobody in the pipeline claims to carry them. They need direct appointment or fresh recruitment, not negotiation. This is the list that gets missed when reconciliation is the only lens.
Osi II04-08Apado06-05Oro II09-10Odo-Owa II14-10Kpada I16-05Lade II16-09
How control is scored
Definition- Load-bearing seats — the ward executive positions the war room treats as necessary for mobilisation: chairman, secretary, organising secretary, woman leader, youth leader.
- Effective control — load-bearing seats held by officers assessed as aligned or reconciled, over the total load-bearing seats. Seats held by passive or aggrieved officers count against control, not toward it.
- Held ≥ 60% · Contested 30–59% · Exposed under 30% · No structure — no load-bearing seat filled at all.
- A ring marks a ward claimed by an unreconciled stakeholder — reconciling them is the cheapest route to recovering it.